26th February 2009, 10:01 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
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Hi Mike
It looks like you are being put through "guess the riddle" my friend.
"They can be a twitchy mob when it comes to a puntin, so don't go round stirren them up cranky like".
Its a riddle to me as to what filter is being suggested here... maybe its a secret riddle .
Jokes aside...
One strong filter which has been mentioned in the forum, is one where we compare the pre-post price (PP) to Bookmakers price.
If bookies price is shorter than PP - strong Back bet
If bookies price is longer than PP - strong Lay bet.
Here's a winning plan that takes discipline to work but it does work.
SR is 45% and 35% POT when I last tested it at level stakes.
NEXT FAV PLAN
The idea is that we target the next live market Fav on Betfair, once we see a Fav get up to win.
In other words we are looking to bet the 2nd winning Fav on the day.
.Follow the Betfair market Fav for each race for each venue.
We do not bet on this Fav. as yet, until one gets up
.Each venue is looked at separately to the others.
.Min 8 races for that venue , otherwise drop that venue from contention.
.Wait for a Fav to get up at that venue within the first 4 races only.
If no winning Fav within those first 4 races, drop that venue for the reset of the day.
.If we see a Fav get up to win within the first 4 races only.
We start betting the next 4 races until we strike a winner, stopping at the first winner or we bomb out on 4 races in a row, at that venue.
.We only bet a max of 4 bets at any one venue.
.Now do the same for all the other venues with 8-10 races.
.Bet 2% of bank. Not reducing.
One can go over past TAB results to get an idea how it has performed in the past.
Use BetTraderPro (Free through Racing Traders)) for placement of minimal bets of 1c+ if one wishes to bet below the Betfair min.
Use this idea on Betfair only.
Cheers.
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Cheers.
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