9th November 2003, 08:13 PM
|
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,437
|
|
Quote:
On 2003-11-09 18:05, crash wrote:
The reason you never see a beaten length rule [far more logical than a place rule] is that it can't be run through a data base [backfitted]. I use 2.5 lengths from winner and importantly 'running at least 8th at the 800m' last start which puts the horse into the 'on the pace ' at least catagory. Like to see the stats freaks run that one on their data bases.
|
Oh yes you can, and this is why I built my own database from scratch and it's still not finished 10 months later.
I can add comments and then filter by on pace or backmarker etc.
Quote:
You will NEVER see the armchair statsmen in any tipping comp. Why ? I wonder.
|
Both Becareful and myself are statsmen and we finished o.k. in the last competition.
The main reason that I stay away from competitions in general, is that the cut off is always too early.
Track is downgraded etc and you're gone.
Secondly all my systems have price rules and there is no way to accurately determine the SP prior to 10AM etc.
|