13th March 2009, 03:13 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
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If we could lay at tote prices and pay commission, this would be a winner.
Unfortunately we have to lay at significantly longer prices and pay commission on top.
Consider a jockey who has three rides for the day and shows a longterm loss.
First ride $3.00 favourite - loses
Second ride $7.00 - loses
Third ride $15.00 - wins.
Problem is to get set on the $15.00 shot we had to lay at $25.00 plus pay commission, that's a aaaa of a lot of free rides he has.
The idea is good though, we need to look at jockeys that have a bad record on favourites
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