26th April 2009, 05:55 AM
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Suspended.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Try Try Again
Hi Two Dogs,
I do like horses that run on the pace in preference to horses coming from behind as they are less likely to meet with inteference.
I do not have the information available to check back over my neural selections to see if some horses could have been eliminated due to their running pattern.
Thanks for the interest.
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It's very difficult for back-markers to win unless there is a genuine pace, especially in races of more than 1100-1200m. A 'genuine pace' is a race that is run within 2 sec. [12 lengths] of the track record for the conditions on the day.
Unless a race has at least 2 leaders [preferably more], a single leader will put the brakes on and turn the race into a jog and sprint, making it almost impossible for back-markers to wind up and run down the leaders.
Leaders or on-pacers generally win these races and accounts for most races above 1200m nowadays. Working out what the race pace is going to be is no easy task without the right info. Also, sectional times are useless unless the race concerned was truly run.
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