26th April 2009, 03:14 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 94
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maverick1993
my base list is very similar to yours Brendan, and then i plus or minus depending on how they ride the track and if the particular horse suits there type of riding style and whip hand.
eg , I'd give a big plus for old Gauci if hes on a leader , newitt if the horse responds to his aggressive style ect ect..
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Hi maverick1993,
yes, thats a good way of looking at it. You raise fine points I will lok at. I just look to see if the jockey has won on the horse before. So if its Newitt and he has won, and I like the horse for that race, its ok. Gauci does rate front runners well. Hot jockeys over the past 3 months, too. My stats show B Rawiller over the past 3 months has had 223 rides for 66 winners at over 29%. To me its a feedback thing between the trainers and jockeys: the jockey is full of confidence and rides some winners, and the trainers start to seek him out giving him more winners, and so it goes. At least for a while, and then some other jockey goes hot, and the trainers start seeking them out...
I was loathe the back Chasm yesterday, despite recent good form. I liked Vigor at $6 in that field, but I had a saver on a quinella with Chasm partly because he had the hot jockey on board. So, sometimes it can be handy to look at the jockeys.
When the cats away - last week there were barely any headline jockeys at Flemington. But if you rated what was left, Logan, Symonds, and Gundogdu would have rated very well. And they won more than their fair share that day.
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