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Old 11th May 2009, 10:51 AM
crash crash is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thorns
Hey crash,

Looks like a pretty comprehensive form service there. By any chance have you taken any notice as to how accurate there running position details are? And could you use i confidently for creating speed maps?


Hi Thorns,

Unless a race goes pear shaped for a selection, the horse is usually about were it should be at the turn. So yes, mostly the preferred pace of a runner is consistent. I don't take a lot of notice of the ratings though, except as a general starting point to look at. A race might not suit a high rater for any number of reasons but for some punters with a different slant on handicapping [we all have our own], I'm sure ratings can be a great help in their selection process.

I don't create speed maps [anymore] of a whole field as doing so would be time consuming and depending on what happens during a race's running and how individual horses perform, it's often a waste of time unless the race is truly run. Take the fact that so most races are not truly run [blanket finishes], what use is a speed map beyond the turn? I basically create a speed map in my head in how the pace is going to effect my final 2 or 3 selection up until the turn and make my final selection from how I expect them to go from there.

If it looks like a favorite's winning race, I ignore the race as I'm not interested in those sort of odds. I had some good winners on Sat. and none of them were favorites. That's just my approach anyway, as nailing the right favorites works for some.
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