I must confess that most of my blackbook entries are horses that won that day. Some are horses that run second, and on the odd occasion, maybe a 3rd or a 4th. For the record, does anyone have the stats on winners who won their last start..?

From memory that run of Shocking's on 16th may, I think it was around 9 lengths he gained on the rest of the field from the 600, apart from the second placing Lakonian. I've actually also included Lakonian in my bb, as that day if not for Shocking, he would have won by panels, I think he gained 7 lengths on the others in the final 600. My tempo formula told me that race was 109%. Meaning to me that the average time of each of the first 5 sectionals (1600 race) was 109% of the average time of each of the last 3 sectionals (furlongs). This to me is a rather slow tempo which makes Shockings run even more brilliant, as he was still 8th at the 400.

As I said before these days I very rarely enter a backmarker into my bb. I really only concentrate on horses that are running in around the first 4 at the 400. With a very rare couple of exceptions, as above.

Paul