Here's one way to convert its win chance to price.

Lets say we use its career win SR & convert this to price & only bet this horse if we get this price or more.

Maybe target just the 2 best chances for each race & bet either one or both if we get our price or none if we don't get our price on either of them.

Example
18% SR
1 divided by 18% = $5.55

15%
1 / 15% = $6.67

21%
1 / 21% = $4.76

25%
1 / 25% = $4.00

30%
1 / 30% = $3.33

The idea here is to try & think in general terms when it comes to value.
We know we will never be 100% correct & with some value injected, it helps us to get closer to our goal.


Cheers.

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Cheers.