For me, i guess value can also be a bit systematic, i have it priced at $4.00 (3-1) , but its showing 3.90, so i cant back it, unders? but if its 4.10 i can back it, overs? ..if you decisions come down to 10 or 20 cents, umaahhh your in trouble.
So basically then it depends , if you took the early price or missed the boat. oh...real world
my top selection $4, i see 3.90, i hope it will move out a bit, from the bird cage hes tipped it, and its an O'shea horse, so now the stable has hit the ring, now its 3.50 .... 3.00..the tote $2.50 ..wins with a leg in the air, like those good things do.....
next race, can you belive it ..same thing , top rated $4, it shows 3.90, it O'shea horse, while typing this its now moved now to $4, we'll take it, from the board cage hes tiped it second, but now its 4.50 ...sp was $5.50, it ran 3rd.
your down say $25, really you should be a little in front,..how much is depending ,if you took fixed or tote...or square if your busy watching the fashions on the field.
perhaps one example , said you are on the right track, the other said you maybe mistaken....

My markets are far better than than yours, BUT his is far better than mine and the other guys are even better, BUT the odd set early on, made by the head hcp'er in the NT, seconded by his back up,confirmed by their video watcher...are now being confirmed by the stable ..........but.. i ,we, you , know better and so much more?