If one is going to take up any progressive betting idea , it is wise to set up a rule for when to stop betting for the day .
A rule I have found to work very well ,is to stop betting on the day, once you have struck 10 loosers in a row for the day ,then start afresh the next day ,but this time ,trying to recoup a 3rd of the outstanding target + 1/2% of bank, once achieved, go for the next outstanding 3rd+1/2% of bank & so on .
I use divisors 3/1 min & 6/1 max.
Depending on their price at jump time.
This means if my selection is 10/1 at jump time on the TAB,I will bet it as if it is 6/1 max.,if it gets up ,I have secured overs.
On a good day ,many winners can be found targeting the 2nd & 3rd Tab favs at 1 min to jump time & backing the one with the-
1) Best career place % (1st,2nd,3rds).or
2)Any other mini handicapping method in your arsenal,for separating 2 horses.
You will find they all seem to work on their day but be prepared for when they dont work on a given day.
e.g. 10 outs in a row, on the day then stop , it`s not going to be your day.
Only bet on races where the whole field has had 2 career starts or more so as to avoid lower quality,lower class ,less exposed form, races.
This also helps reduce the long run of outs ,which is the killer for all progressive staking plans.
If you are target betting ,it`s an idea to start you target at 1/2 percent of the bank or less ,any higher & you will soon see how out of control it can get,if the wheels fall off.
Here are some mini handicapping plans to separate the 2 horses,which have had some excellent results.Using progressive betting.
1)Best place %.
2) Best av.prz.money.
3) Bet the widest barrier of the 2 .
4)Best last 2 placings once added together.
5)Bet the horse with best jockey according to the jockey table as shown on the AAP racing site.
6)Bet the one with best Neurolongarithim Rating as per AAP.
I would be interested to hear what other punters use as mini handicapping plans, to separate 2 horses.The simpler the better.
__________________
Cheers.
|