If you think about it, in the long run progressive staking is really a series of level staking plans run concurrently. The problem is the run of outs as discussed elsewhere in this forum. A 1 in 10 strike rate really needs to be able to sustain a run of 50 outs to be 99% sure of success. Target bettors make me want to take up bookmaking (unless they target odds at level stakes).

I also have a problem with trying to improve one's handicapping beyond a certain point. I feel there is a limit to how well anyone can predict winners through handicapping methods. People have been trying for years and only a very few have succeeded and that is because they have found an angle no one else is using. Also, most punters have the same information and hence come up with the same selections in the main, and these selections are priced accordingly, and hence are unwinnable in the long term.

Rather I feel to be successful at punting one has to pick the winners that very few other punters pick and hence get over the odds. I try to do this but really have to play off bookies and the TAB to get top odds to make any consistent headway. Either betting medium by itself leaves me with a break even system.

Happy analysis