crash,
I was going thru some vids on Sunday, and from the ones I looked at, you are on the ball with your comments. With the downpour late in the week in Melb, there may have been a few bad lanes that some jockeys discovered were there, too late.

I also think that trainers are more likely to keep their best and most reliable horses for the spring and autumn. "Reliable" being the operative word in this context. I don't expect all my picks to win, but I have been gobsmacked recently to find out they didn't get a mention in the steward's report, except for maybe something like: "jockey Damien Oliver was at a loss to explain the lack of..." Normally when I'm punting well most of my picks come in the top four, at least. A lot of horses this time of year seem to be hit or miss.

I can think back 10 years plus, and after a few wet weeks the picking was easier. Maybe there are just not enough wet days today to expose all the form.

stix,

its probably my money this month you are winning. Use it wisely. LOL