OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - View Single Post

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bhagwan

Just keep doing what you are doing Marcus,

Try not to look at any more information than what you are currently looking at otherwise we end up with analysis paralysis.

Try & keep it simple the way you are doing it.
Try not to add anything more because we think it will make it better because it usually doesn't.

You are having a very good run so don't change anything.
If we have a bad run say 9 outs in a row, try & stop & wait until we see 2 successes get up before recommencing.

Try & bet to a ratio of 100/1 -200/1
e.g. $6 bets $1200 bank.
This allows for any runs of outs, that happens to everyone on sooner or later.
It also helps with our confidence levels which is vital for making bold profitable decisions.

Try & keep the Trifecta outlays as low as possible because they have a habit of having long runs of outs, sorry I don't wish to put a downer on you, just try & be prepared, very few people get strike rates like that for Trifectas.

The Fav stats for winning is 30% , this includes odds-on shots.
But if priced $2.80+ , their SR is 24%

Cheers.

I havent even thought about the ratio to spending, as every weekend I chuck $30+ worth of multibets away on the football anyway - Its soo impossible to land multibets, the bounce of a ball can determine the outcome and its really turned me off it..

Playing the pokies is probably the most inconsistant of them all, where there is no form/skill/system to give you an edge whatsoever.

I have a steady income, so I'll probably keep going with this every weekend untill I dont make anything 2-3 weeks in a row and probably lower my investment from $200 down to $100 maybe.. - I dont think I'll wait till Im down 9 weeks in a row lol..

Yeah Im imagining that it would be quite hard to constantly land trifecta's otherwise everybody would be doing it.. A mate of mine is trying to convince me to start laying down hundred's and pretty much boxing the whole field, so that Trifecta's will always land - depending on how much you win/lose depends on the odds of the horses coming in of course, but I dont think its as easy as that, otherwise once again, everybody would be doing it..