
8th December 2003, 07:55 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: geeveston
Posts: 702
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i am saying have faith in your system.
define the commonalities of your winners and losers.
e.g. you tipped thunder hawk as a good bet.
he does not win often enough to be a good bet at any time.
i have done statistics on many horses and thunder hawk is one of them.
he placed in the geelong derby trial (listed race ) in october 2001 (2 years)
my statistics show that pre-qualified horses (listed) in the second year win 20% of races won by listed horses (actually) it is 15% 5 percent is won by horses longer than 2 years.
horses qualified in the past year win 80%.
so the strike rate is not that good for a horse like thunder hawk.
he may be a casual bet at best but a good bet. never.
this statistical link gives more confidence to your betting . sorry if i lost you.
i probably have lost you in this note as well but. i am saying define a common link and have faith in it.
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