Merrigum wrote:

Like in most gambling there is no reason why the bets should run in groups either way!!!

True enough, but any system will nevertheless have a characteristic pattern of strikes and outs. For example, some systems will give you lots of short-priced winners and will consequently (usually) yield lots of strikes in a row before an out. A long-shot system will give you lots of outs in a row before a strike. There is nothing to say in any system that just because you've had five outs in a row the next race "must" be a winner, but in some systems it will be more likely than others. Its not just POT that determines a good system, but a reliable strike pattern. If you've got a system with only meager POT but a reliable strike pattern, you can make a fortune.

I agree, Merrigum, that there's nothing worse than losing a good profit and ending the day thinking, "If only I'd stopped at the big win on race three...", but once you start thinking "if only" in racing, you're a goner.

Hermes