10th December 2003, 07:00 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
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Quote:
On 2003-12-10 13:47, crash wrote:
'Horses for courses' meaning one race at time, one track at a time and one bet at a time. Nothing over rated about that.
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Horses for courses means horses perform well at certain tracks and poorly at others.
This is based on retrofitted goobledegook and not as you say one race at a time.
A horse that has won four starts at Caulfield and is racing at Caulfield will always be a couple of points shorter than it's realistic chance of winning.
A horse that is racing at Caulfield for the first time but has won at Moonee Valley four times will usually be at least close to a realistic price depending on other factors.
research of prices for in excess of 14,000 races shows this.
Quote:
Horses that are over bet are generaly called 'favorites'. Meaning what, we should only back the 'value' long shots in outside barriers ? Phooee. You still have to spot em' and back em' and I bet we would get it wrong enough times to look financialy silly.
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Price and value are two different entities.
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