Crash,

See your point.

In fact on this very forum I said that FOO would run close to last in Japan based on my original argument re the time run in the Cox Plate.
I said I'd be laying FOO on Betfair for as much as I could - and I did.
:smile:

Re stats, no righteousnous, but wisdom can come from a decent sample of stats.
The problem is that some draw conclusions from even 1,000 races and this is not nearly enough.
I have recently expanded my database to over 14,000 metro class races in order to identify the trends which repeat year in year out - these trends cannot be ignored.

All the best.