12th December 2003, 07:05 AM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Canberra
Posts: 730
|
|
Puntz,
I reran the 14+ runner scenario for Slow and Heavy tracks only. To get a more reasonable number of races I extended the timeframe back to the beginning of 2001 which gave about 500 races. The results were:
B1 to B7: 7.6% strike rate, $11.30 Ave Div, 14% Loss
B8 to B13: 6.2% strike rate, $11.21 Ave Div, 30% Loss
B14 to B24: 7.5% strike rate, $12.40 Ave Div, 6% Loss
Interestingly it is quite consistant with the all tracks data.
Looking at this maybe I SHOULD be considering barriers in larger fields - but the danger area is not the outside as most people seem to think but rather the MIDDLE barriers as these show a big dip in the strike rate!
_________________
"Computers can do that????" - Homer Simpson
[ This Message was edited by: becareful on 2003-12-12 08:11 ]
|