Bhags, I know EXACTLY what you're talking about, but that's just it; the 30% winning favs RUNNING TOTAL never seems to alter, i.e. even a ridiculous losing run hardly makes a ripple on the 30% S/R over many, many, many ,1000's of past results!

It all keeps coming back to something I saw once in an interview with a well known bookie in the UK, who said (QUOTE) "it doesn't matter what you do, any imaginable system or combination" the "shifting sands will ensure that you lose about 20% on T/O, why ? because you are being given about 80% (on average) of the true odds of ANY horses real chance of winning!!!!!!! foooooood for thought!

What we really have here is, someone spinning a coin and giving us 4-5, so you can bet every 2nd spin or every 10th spin or WHATEVER, WHATEVER, and you are still getting 80% of the the true chance???????

Result = you are going to lose 20% of every $ you bet! (eventually)