Interesting thread.

Applying rules that produced winners in the past to horses running in the future is problematic. The horses change as do conditions. Every three or four years we are dealing with all new runners [not exactly but you get my drift] that have contibuted nothing to the results from the past. This fact may help to explain why some systems drop off apart from the usual too many players argument.

I have never used public systems and among the few I do use most still eventualy fall over. Constant re-invention is required. Any system that has worked in the past then failed, still has the potential to work again when future condt. mirror [or nearly] it's past working parameters. Knowing when that might be is the problem. Better to re-invent.
My new systems go straight into play without checking past results using smallish bets which grow if the system performs. If the system is based on sound principals it won't take your leg off. So why not play it and see what happens ?

There is still one system that has stood the test of time that works and that is good old fashioned handicapping. It seems that it is becomming less and less popular due to the application required to turn it into a winning 'system'. It does have the advantage of lasting a lifetime and improving with age as a reward for the personal application required. I can understand why though through time restrictions etc. hadicapping is not everyone's cup of tea.

Cheers.



[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2003-12-16 07:53 ]