17th December 2003, 06:25 AM
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Suspended.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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No Bhagwan, clearly I ment targeting the barrier that produces the most winners from the first 4 barriers, not trying to cover them all. Barrier 1 x field x field [ 1x8x8 others = $56 or 1x9x9 others = $72 for a full unit] which covers 9 or 10 horse fields.
If barrier 1 wins more than the other 3 it might be what, 20% WR from the 70% total ? That would mean barrier 1 wins 20% of all races ? A 1 in 5 chance of the 1 x field tri. winning. That was my reasoning based on your stats. I am obviously not an exotics punter [mostly win only] but if barrier 1 wins the most from 1/2/3/4 it does raise tri. speculation regarding barrier 1 [only].
Your Stats do seem to contradict barrier stats., but Becareful may be wrong in his assumption. Even if stats show that inside and outside barriers produce [almost] the same number of winners that does not mean that there isn't a strong bias toward the 1/2/3/4 among the inside barriers. But your figure of 70% suggests a winning bias toward inside barriers generaly. However Becareful, looked at carefuly and remembering those four barriers run more than any other barriers [a point you overlooked I think], the 70% figure for them could indeed be correct !!
Cheers.
[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2003-12-17 08:28 ]
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