Geelong Cup:

BASALTICO [?]
OK, I'll stick my neck out and pot this horse:-)
Apart from the Ollie factor, am I missing something? Basaltico's European form was dismal and in mostly weaker races too. Ok effort last start for a 2nd. but it was only a $40k C2 race. Last win was a year ago in a $100k race. All other efforts since then have been terrible [formline: 1,5,13,7,3,6,8,4,2]. One win and 2 placings and none of those races had prize money anywhere near today's $400k Cup. Should be 50/1!

A few leaders in this so I'll go for the WA on-pacer GUYNO having a [sneaky?] big form reversal after his last start flop on a heavy track and 3 failures on dead trks. An on-pacer who can really fly on a good track over this distance. 5th up, nice weight and a good barrier. e/w