
24th October 2009, 08:51 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 138
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
I re-read the question .
I am assuming it relates to targeting any single TAB No. & not replacing it if a scratching .
Lay bet it if priced 1.60-10.00
The concept can work in races with 10+ runners.
What happens sometimes, in smaller fields especially, is that a spate of the same number gets up on a given day , for whatever crazy reason & it takes all our lovely profits with it...not fair.
I feel if one were to continue with the idea , I feel its important to try & restrict the price to a max of $7.30 & less so that we don't get bit so hard ,because when those 10.00 babies get up it can hurt big time if the bet is not halved for these higher prices.
One could use the Maria Lay staking plan or a version of it.
Example.
1.10- 3.50 ....O/L 2% of bank
3.51 - 6.00.... O/L 1.00%
6.01 - 10.00... O/L .60%
The way that this was calculated was to divide the greater fractional odds of each of the price levels into 5.
This the gives us the percentage of bank we are going to O/L
e.g. 2.5/1 (3.50) into 5 = 2%
The 5 represents $5.00 we approx lose if the greater of the price range is hit, based on a $100 bank.
This allows for 20+ outs.
A rule I like to use is ... if we were to get bit say 3 times in a row, on the day ...STOP for the day.
Its not going to be our day, with worse to follow.
This is done to try & avoid the really bad days which will be rare but they do happen, so best be prepared.
But overall I feel it will work better than most bought systems if one keeps a handle on the number of allowable losers & stops betting once 3-5% profit is made . (Optional)
One could use a program called BetBotPro (Free trial available)
Stick in one's parameters on a given TAB number & it will do everything for you while at work & turn itself off once the 3-5% target is reached.
It has the Maria staking plan included.
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thanks so much.will cont trialing
trial so far
staking
recovery 44% over 2 bets
wednesday ..21-10-09
lays..91
losing lays..18
p/l.. 74 units
thursday 22-10-09
lays..106
losing lays ..21
p/l . ..69 units
friday 23-10-09
lays..101
losing lays..21
p/l...64 units
english dogs are the best i think.
20% losing lays is starting to take shape.lets hope it remains stable.
may change the recovery to a milder version,
or as bhgwan suggests go to maria
thanks for the help bhagwan
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