31st October 2009, 08:54 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 939
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DERBY DAY!!!!
flemington..
r1, like the comedian here. last start win with ease and as the likely leader will take a huge effort to run down. kidnapped obviously the one to beat, but id throw in euphemism at big odds, as its sydney form looks ok for a race like this.
r2, tough race but im going to ignore light visions last start and put him on top with some good value around. Should get a good run somewhere just off the speed and with a good record track/ distance and back to suitable grade looks good at double figures. hume/shocking for multis.
r3, This one looks easy. Very keen on run for naara here. Was on last start and even more confident today. Loved the turn of foot and if runs like that wins easily. Im all over her today!
r4, I really like demerit here but will keep my money in my pocket because of mcavoid riding it. He does seem to ride better in melbourne but hes hurt me too many times. Might just box up that with irish lights and wanted for qu..
r5, Id expect rangi to get a soft lead here and providing he has recovered well from the hard track will be terribly hard to run down. Wouldnt be suprised to see mandela sneak into a place at massive odds.
r6, How many chances do we give onemorenomore. Has loads of ability and if he can settle for a change wins this. Liked monaco consuls win and looks like will enjoy the extra distance, ill work multis around these 2.
r7,not prepared to back typhoon tracey at those odds from a wide barrier, but if gets across ok wins this.
r8, very hard to go past first command here today, but i will wait to see what part of the track they will be aiming for. Like the qu with the toppy.
Adelaide
ill be all upping tolerdal party, catapulted and morgan dollar. All should be winning today.
still looking at bris/syd, back later....
good luck every1!
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