Hi Guy's
Hope you are all doing well, didn't like the Derby Day so stayed away from all of the races in Melbourne. I did have a blackbooker running @ Towoomba though so i actually made the trek out there for the first time (from Gold Coast) to get the bookies odds. If i had realised there would be only two bookies who were as weak as water i probably would've saved the drive.
Nevertheless the horse i liked was Camphor after a huge run the start before when bursting through on the inside! Couldn't believe that one of the bookies put up $3 straight away (looked an odds on pop for mine) so i stepped in and knocked it off straight away, it duely saluted by 5.25 lengths
It was a wonderful feeling, knowing your form was spot on and you've jagged super odds.
Anyway back to the Melbourne Cup, i usually steer clear of this race as it is incredibly difficult to find the winner, however i do really think Alcopop is the one to beat here, beautiful horse with a beautiful weight, and has what is required to win the big one which is a turn of foot, his times were outstanding in the Herbert Power. Just hoping Dom doesn't go too early as i think if he's within 3 lengths at the 200m it's all over.
Viewed for me is unders, he got the right run in the Caulfield Cup, but that wasn't an over strong rendition. Ussually horses who get home nicely in the MacKinnon are terribly hard to beat, but most of the time they'll be dropping considerably in weight (think Rogan Josh), Veiwed gets no weight relief here.
Anyway good luck all, think the bet of the day is probably Bart's second stringer in Think Money, good last start at the Valley, she has been prepped for the cup and ran second in the AJC Oaks so the distance will be ideal, still a maiden but perfectly drawn and she really does meet a bunch of no hopers here. Worried about the price though especially with the Bart factor!
Cheers Ed.