11th November 2009, 12:47 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 112
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Ade
All horses are adjusted at the same rate right?
If a favourite horse is scratched, shouldn't the market adjust taking into account the scratched horse form?
For example, if the favourite is scratched, should the second favourite price come in quite alot more compared to a 50 to 1 chance?
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Ade,
you are correct. My SS is a purely mathematical correction of the market in the event of a scratching.
Real prices could vary in regards to differing criteria depending on the make up of the race. Example - if a known front-runner was scratched, the whole plot of the race could be at issue and a horse originally at a long quote could shorten dramatically and a shorter animal drift substantially.
Once again, my SS is a mathematical correction only - the melon on your shoulders should be employed for a more
accurate appraisal. :-)
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