20th December 2009, 08:31 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: geeveston
Posts: 702
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this is faith or obvious
re dream pedlar. I look for longshots. here is my calculation.
both horses qualified in the last year.
points divided by 10 multiplied by price
conquering 29/10*2.6 = 7.54
dream pedlar 7/10*18 = 12.6
the value was in dream pedlar.
conquering at $2.60 is of no use to punters like me.
dream pedlar at 18/1 is challenging.
see where the judgement comes in and possibly the risk and greed
I am wrong as often.
The calculation favors horses greater than 10/1
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laurie
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