Evening Topsy,

Do you generally work with a minimum number of points before you get too interested in a horse?

Black type races can have many top chances and even looking for value as per your calculation can still leave it a tough race do you have a general rule of thumb you work with?

Recent dist ability could eliminate some as would historic dist ability along with its liking for the going. Odd day back ups going by a reference I saw by you to fitness patterns (Blakemore)

Cheers
Twodogs