NBA 2010.01.13 last 2 picks:

Orlando Magic @ Denver Nuggets: Denver -5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Milwaukee Bucks @ Portland Trail Blazers: Under 192.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker



Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks

Today, Hawks will have the perfect matchup to show to everyone that they are already in a great form. Hawks had a period where they give blowout losses to everyone they faces, but they have struggled for a few games, in games against Cleveland and Knicks. Now, and after two straight wins against Boston, they are able to pull up again their best game. They will face a break team after the scandal involving Arenas, their franchise player. But Washington is not playing so bad as every one expects, after all, they are accustomed to play without Arenas, as he had only returned few months ago to the competition.

Despite in the beginning of the season these teams had a game in Atlanta that ended with 100-89 (189 points), we can´t expect something different today. And the biggest difference it will be in the number of points, as we can´t be sure about how will Wizards be able to manage the game. But with Jamison, Butler and so on, they are a team with good scorers and able to score lot´s of points. Atlanta will face this game giving all they could give, and they are a team that easily score 130 points at home, making a game with a high pace, caring more with their offense than defense. If Atlanta play in that pace and scores a lot of points, Wizards will also be able to pass the century mark easily.

Pick: Over 203.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


Phoenix Suns @ Indiana Pacers

More than 75% of the bettors are going on under, making this line moving in our favor. It´s a bet that people make without any analysis, just because it´s a high number. But that is not the right way to do things, and we have to be methodic.

Suns and Pacers will meet at Conseco Fieldhouse. This is a traditional arena for overs, as here, at home, Pacers always plays with a high pace. But lately pacers have slowed down, as they lost to improvement list their best and fastest player, Granger. However, he comeback to action last game, and so, we can´t expect a huge improvement in Pacers offense.

Suns are also a team that likes to play fast. Their kind of game is also the run and gun, and despite there is the impression that they are slowing down, that is not true. First, they never negate a fast game if the opponent is willing to play with a high pace. After hall, playing in high pace is the "water where they live". The fact is that at home, Suns are scoring less lately, but that is something that happen, is not a tendency. At the road, they struggle a little bit in few straight games, when they played against strong and good defenses. But when they faces a soft defense on road, they never score less than 120 points.

Today, we will have a perfect matchup for those that just love overs and big scoring games. Suns will face Pacers, that with Granger back, will try to play their best game at home, that is run-and-gun. Suns just love to play that game, so I expect a easy over despite the high numbers.

Pick: Over 227 -110 (1.91) The Greek