Thread: System Research
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Old 2nd January 2004, 04:29 AM
crash crash is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Hi GB,

Very interesting final filters. You have the KISS principle [keep it simple stupid] well under control.
I am currently using a small system that I worked out that is based on almost the same principles your filters describe. I believe too many filters beyond these simple but powerful ones, can lead to erroneous results as can those back fitted over many years because the horses running now generally had nothing to do with them and the further back you go the worse it gets.

I don't bet beyond dead though and I am even wary about that [dead and good footing or dead and slippery ?]. I also have a pre-post price [using PP from: http://www.tabform.thewest.com.au/s.../TFFrameset.jsp ] filter of no more than $9 or must be in the first 4 favorites. I use price but first 4 favorites would do the same job of excluding unrealistic class jumpers and a last start filter of no more than 10 days since last start. These three filters add a powerful handicapping effect. Finally I 'do the form' on any runner my system selects looking for any obvious [only] reasons not to bet the selection.

The main thing I try to remember is that I am looking for consistent results that no, won't score the winner of every race but will consistently achieve acceptable POT return figures from flat stake win bets. I am not interested in big wins but have a bit of fun with long shot interest bets on the side from my own handicapping efforts using the Sportsman and $5 win bets only. Sportsman ratings are tried and true and the new Winning Post ones look good too. My selections usually fall in the top 4.

Cheers.


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-01-02 05:11 ]
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