![Old](images/statusicon/post_old.gif)
2nd January 2004, 11:39 AM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bendigo
Posts: 236
|
|
Further Merriguy:
I pulled out 100 cases of those megawinners (win or place) from this group and find a marked proponderance towards inside barriers.
The logical rationale is that we have two runners carrying the same weight but one has a better run than the other. The Radio Tab tipsters have assessed that a certain runner with a certain weight is a chance in its race. But another runner carrying the same weight has a better barrier and a better run home.
It is therefore a matter of physics. The question in any race is which of these animals can carry that weight over that distance fastest? In the cases I am considering, where we have two horses at the same weight (grouped together by the handicapper), the one with the better barrier has the advantage. That's the basis for the tips today.
I don't have a coherent system here. Just playing around with an interesting group of horses.
I start with the Radio Tab picks because they are useful in determining what weight group is likely to win a race. For example, if the Radio Tabsters pick runners 1, 2 and 4 in a race of 12 runners they are saying it is a topweight's race. They are usually right about that, even if its #3 that wins. If the Radio Tabsters pick runners 8, 9 and 11 then they are saying the winner should be among the bottomweights. And they are usually right about that. I find it useful.
Hermes
|