Hi all thanks guys for your replies. My thoughts are about the same. between 29%-31% win next time out. The place is very often a good price too.

An interesting point, I have been following these horses with 1-1-1 form in The UK/Aussie/and some other tracks usa and South Africa and laying them at betfair, you know, almost every one has been successful. A good example was Ascot - R6 #3 Celtus - if I remember right this had that form and then came no-where. Anyway I'll continue to follow this and see how it pans out. cya Flint.