Originally Posted by ubetido

Hi Michal

Thanks for your reply and yes i agree with you that figures can be twisted or sampled in a way that makes look ok.

As you can appreciate there are many races where there are no bets either but yes long runs of outs of 50 or more is not uncommon.

I applied the same principles to barriers 2 and 3 whilst the last few days there have been a number of longshot winners from these two barriers long term the results were not as good.

Might be forum jinx..lol

As i said it has been a play around but barrier 1 did show a profit level stakes overall.

To perhaps put things i perspective
Barrier 1 had a strike rate of 7.4% average return was $17.
Barrier 2 was a 4.3% strike rate with a average $19 return
Barrier 3 was a 4% strike rate with an average of $18 return
In the price ranges i indicated
All other price ranges were losers both shorter price and longer priced at two minutes to the jump.

Would i be silly enough to think that it could be this simple of course not but for a bit of fun it could be worse for a no brainer long shot selection process.


Cheers
Ubetido