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Old 3rd February 2010, 07:02 PM
beton beton is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Chrome Prince
Any input from you is welcome. The problem is, going down this track, in sample size, (I have 32000 races 27 months) and once you have sufficient races to test then there is the chore of analysing all the data. As you say a mammoth task. The question then bears asking "How relevant is it to the next race?" The Eagles won the premiership twice in the early 90s. Could they win again on those results playing the same winning way? Extremely unlikely. The game has evolved and is 12% faster today. From what I am seeing racing is an evolving sport as well. The trainers are learning from the past and applying it to the present. They represent the business side of racing and have a vested interest. They have to be successful, it affects the bottom line. Punting however is a negative sum aside to racing. We fight for an edge over a smaller pot than we collectively contributed and we endeavour to get more out of that smaller pot than our co-contributors. We must then use old trends to recognize new trends. an example is days to last start. With todays training trends <21 days could easily be put out to 35 days. Sorting out class and how the class relates to races is a major edge. I know nothing worthwhile about class but some of these horses seem to be rising or dropping 3 to 4 classes.

So the bottom line is "that we have to start somewhere and talking gets us moving forward". I know that it gets hard for senior posters dealing with newbies but we do bring a different prespective. Many a gold mine has been found by looking at the problem differently. Regards Beton
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