
7th March 2010, 09:01 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,330
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Yes Peter.
The late Ian Barnes suggested going to 4th LS but the general consensus was up to 3rd LS.
The stats as per Malcolm K (run over 100,s of thousands of races) indicate that horses which ran 5th or worse LS are more likely to LOSE next start.
I would be hesitant also to bet a horse that was a backmarker as against a horse that was a leader or races on the pace in the majority of their races (1.e 4th to 6th on the home turn)
Also horses up in the weights 55KG + win more races than those down in the weights.
Cheers
darky
ps .The top 2 racing form papers are SPORTSMAN and ( WIZARD online )
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