Originally Posted by Chrome Prince Of the two 1:59.90 horses, it is crucial to know how fast they did their early splits in and how fast they came home. They could have jogged early and flew home for a sizzling final quarter adding to an overalll quick time. OR they could have gone hard early, took a breather mid race and sizzled home. OR they could have sizzled early and plodded home All having the same race time.

The pace of the race is critical as you illustrate with the trots but i would like to just concentrate on the sprits of up to 1200. This way you cut out a lot more research as would be needed for the longer races as there would be many more sectional to study and pace is a bigger factor. (no breather mid race etc) I think par times for the shorter distance reflect a more accurate time than those run over the longer distance therefore giving a more accurate selection.