23rd January 2004, 11:45 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,440
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Quote:
On 2004-01-23 11:16, Merriguy wrote:
Chrome, if your last two days figures are in any way typical, the way to go sems to be just back the fav. in the first race and stop. My maths says that would have given a 51.5% POT --- which would do me any day :grin:
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Merriguy,
Actually the figures were extreme which is amazing, the average is to strike a winner in the first 4 races, more often than not, if a fave doesn't win in the first four races, it's usually races 8,9, or 10 before a win.
The long run of outs until the last race in brisbane is not typical - perhaps once every 10 meetings.
I have seen meetings where no favourite wins, but that is extremely rare - perhaps once every 3 months (betting every night all venues).
One can reduce the losing races by sticking with certain favourite races.
Example: No Maidens and boxes 1,2,7,& 8 or where the favourite has an empty box next to it.
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