![Old](images/statusicon/post_old.gif)
25th January 2004, 10:36 PM
|
Member.
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,266
|
|
Stebbo,
I think I have a couple of ideas for you.
In those original rules of mine, I was looking for value by including horses which finished 1st to 4th at their last 4 starts. However, that doesn't seem to have worked, so I'd suggest it would be better in future to only use horses which were PLACED at their last 4 starts. I also suggest you think about a minimum win strike rate of 20%. Using those two rules, and a distance range of 1100-2400m, I think you should improve your strike rate and profit a fair bit.
Here's the results from Oct 18. (That's when you started the 'PPF' system, isn't it?)
Oct18 B7-7 Roar Talent UNP
Nov8 S7-8 Cataclysm WON (5.30)
Nov8 B7-6 Penola UNP
Nov15 M8-8 Lord Volksraad PLA
Nov15 B6-2 Warrior Trader UNP
Nov22 B7-3 Panzer PLA
Nov29 B7-9 Alfonso PLA
Nov29 S7-11 Portland Singa PLA
Dec13 M3-9 Danrego WON (3.60)
Dec13 B6-3 Poachers Luck WON (6.00)
Dec27 B1-6 Crimson Gown WON (13.00)
Dec27 M8-2 Dare To Be Proud WON (3.60)
Jan19 GC4-6 Picardi Run UNP
Jan19 S7-9 Sunday Service UNP
Jan24 B7-13 Origin Hero UNP
Selections 15, Wins 5, Win return $31.50, Win profit 110%
There you go. What do you think?
I'm also working on another similar system which looks VERY promising. I'll post that in the next day or two.
[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-01-25 23:39 ]
|