7th September 2010, 05:33 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,057
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Hi Michaelg,
Yes I looked at horses starting <14 days ago, there were 4 starters for 1 winner ($2.00 - a jumps race at Morphettville which had started 6 days ago). My theory is exactly 14 and 21 days ago suggests the horse started at a Metropolitan track. 7 days ago may not give the horse enough time to recover from its last run and >=28 days ago horse may have had a set back and may not be fit.
Using the criteria I set out the place bank would be +$4.30 (Win bank +$26.70).
I am going to look at any Metro races tomorrow (Canterbury, Eagle Farm and Sandown Lakeside) but I am not sure if my "Must have started 14 or 21 days ago" will apply.
I eliminated Belmont (and Ascot) and Hobart. I did not eliminate Launceston as I did not consider this to be the Metro meeting but I may consider it in the future. - 2 starters for one winner ($3.20) and 2 places ($1.20 & $1.70)
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