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Old 3rd February 2004, 08:39 PM
michaelv michaelv is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 43
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Hi Sportz, I've had a bit of a look at the results you so kindly posted (your keyboard skills are impressive but I admit to not being too shoddy myself) and have noticed an interesting pattern even though its only early days so far.

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PrePost Price range: $3.00- $4.00
Total Selections: 34

Total Wins: 9 (26.5% win strike rate)
Win Returns: $39.30
Win Profit: $5.30 (15.62% POT)

Total Placings: 27 (79.4% Place strike rate)
Place Returns: $47.80
Place Profit: $13.80 (40.6% POT) :smile:

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PrePost Price range: $4.10- $6.90
Total Selections: 27

Total Wins: 4 (14.8% win strike rate)
Win Returns: $22.60
Win Loss: $4.40 (16.30% LOT)

Total Placings: 13 (48.1% Place strike rate)
Place Returns: $25.80
Place Loss: $1.20 (4.4% LOT)

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PrePost Price range: $7.00
Total Selections: 11

Total Wins: 4 (36.4% win strike rate)
Win Returns: $32.50
Win Profit: $21.50 (195.45% POT):smile:

Total Placings: 6 (54.5% Place strike rate)
Place Returns: $16.70
Place Profit: $5.70 (51.8% POT) :smile:
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So, pretty interesting huh?

$3.00-$4.00 is profitable AND consistent (as a lot of the selections are from the outside barrier system anyway so this should be expected) while the mid range ($4.10-$6.90) made a loss on both win & place even though the loss was only small on the place and probably could have broken even depending on the state you bet in.

The real 'head turner' was the $7.00 price which turned in a big profit for the win (with a 36% win strike rate) and a good profit for the place even though the place strike rate was down (almost 52%).

Crimson Gown at $13.00 contributed most to the profit although it's these type of winners we all look to to indeed make our profits.

Would adding selections at $8.00 have added or detracted from these results do you think?

I, for one, prefer the more stable results coming from the lower price range even though, in this period, the extra selections (ie those NOT Outside Barrier selections) resulted in 5 placings from 12 bets giving a return of $10.60 and a loss of $1.40 mainly thanks to Red Bay on Jan29 which paid $4.20!

It will be interesting to see how these 'extra' selections go over the coming months as I would like to add them to the Outside Barrier selections mainly because you can get a few more bets. However, if they continue to under perform then they will be excluded.

It'll also be interesting to see if the mid range continues it's slump and if the $7.00 range continues on its merry way....guess only time will tell.

Hope all this helps someone out there.

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