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Old 19th September 2010, 03:13 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,415
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If I go back to a completely different set of data that I did last year, taking all "firmers" on all racedays, not just Saturdays...

921 Bets
167 Winners
Top Fluc Profit 148.55 units or 16.13% POT
SP -117.1 or -12.71% LOT
Best Tote Profit 98.80 units or 10.73% POT

At that stage BFSP was not in Aus, but it would have beaten Top Fluc.

However, including all race days the Top Fluc loss was more than 10% on those firmers less than $3.00.

Stick to the better quality races and horses, where they are firmers and you're home and hosed.

OR

Lay the hotpots if they are within 5% of Bookie SP

Many occasions they were actually under bookie SP, but that's a whole other angle.

(The above refers to the latest data set)
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