21st September 2010, 08:31 PM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,007
|
|
Hi ,
Do further testing. If you are however confident that you have something that you are happy with. See if it actualy works live. Bet a token ammount even if its $1. More if you actually want to see some results. What this does it cements the system for you. It answers questions, like can I actually bet ? When ? How? How many bets do I miss through mistakes, or when Im missing in action and so on.
Tests are one thing, live betting is another and unfortuntely the two are hardly ever the same. I can assure you that most people cannot achive the sterile results of a test in real live betting EVEN if the actuall results duplicate precisely. Life gets in the way, the bets that you should have you dont because of all sorts of reasons external and also your own mind will play tricks.
With token amounts you will still suprisingly suffer the mental issues (its called having balls) when the next bet is about to be placed. But the token amount betting will show you a real performance of your system.
Do this for a few months untill you are confident and then slowly escalete the bets by increasing your bank. Dont think that you can test with a $1 and then go and earn a fortune betting even a $100 or $200. You have to accustom your self to the bet size mentaly.
One of the reasons dumb staking like the fibernachi dosent work. Either you will be bored stiff betting the lower sums, or you will crumble when asked for a bet that is may be 500% above your comfort level as the last bet of the sequance and watch it go down in a protest after you survived a photo finish.
Trust me it will happen, and others thisng that you can't even dream up.
Then you analyse what you got live vs what you got testing and see !
Most people are brave looking at a test with 30 outs knowing that there is a $30 winner, as they can see the whole test at once , this isnt so in real life.
Further I notice that you have NOT got anywhere near enough data to test anything. The 150 bets how long is that over. (dont answer that, just think about it) 1 bet every day ? I bet every hour ? Or will you steel yourself waiting a week between bets ???? That is a hole new ball game. At 32% SR you will still get somewhere around 10 to 15 run of outs. If you bet one a week you might go 3 months without a winner ! I have been there and its painfull, even if at the end the system shines and delivers what your tests suggest.
Michal
|