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Old 5th October 2010, 10:05 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Thanks, Wesmip1.

The tracks I excluded are those of the five major states for Wednesday and Saturday racing, and also at Flemington from last Sunday.

When I decided to look at the system I accepted that the better jockeys rode at these meetings so I assumed this would also be true for the better apprentices. I have kept form-guides for Saturdays, and checked the method with both claiming and non-claiming apprentices. They do not have a bad winning record. For example, over the past two Saturdays and last Wednesday, there have been 12 selections for 5 accidents having a TAB liability of $7.90.

However, the opposite was true over the short period I checked with country and provincial tracks, where as listed in the opening post there were 21 selections for no accidents. Of course it might have just been a coincidence, and reality will even it out.

However, I'll continue to see how they go, in spite of today's accident of $5.40 which one can with some wishful thinking put it down to the Forum Curse.

Thanks again.
Michael.
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