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Old 27th October 2010, 06:07 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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Here is something to help you out with laying. Here is a pure R&S laying system that has a positive expectation of approx 11%.

First the resultsfor the last 3 months (Assuming 5% commission):
Selections : 217
Strike rate : 23 / 217
Profit on laying to a risked liability of $100 : $1257.08

Month 1: $ 97.75
Month 2: $634.88
Month 3: $524.44

The rules :

1. Go to the neurals. Only look at TA and CF. Find the ranking of each one in the list and write it down. Any horse which has a combined ranking of 21 ( ie trainer = 10th rank and cf = 11h rank) is a selection.
2. Only lay up <= $10 on betfair.
4. The above is done pre-scratchings. So you can work out the selections the night before and then just worry about watching the price on raceday.

What is logical about the system rules?
The system is designed to find a trainer who is out of form/does not perform at this track with a mediocre horse in a large field at a price which is low enough to not be a risk to our bank.

Feel free to fiddle with it and add extra filters.

This weeks selections:

Hawkesbury8.PATIOcame 3
Ipswich7.KOLOcame 3
Ipswich7.WILD PROMISEScame 1
Ipswich8.GUNNER KNOXcame 1
Ipswich8.ZEROAD INcame 13
Coffs Harbour4.WAR MACHINEcame 4
Coffs Harbour7.MR WIGGLEScame 1
Eagle Farm8.JAZZ HEARTcame 9
Eagle Farm8.LISTEN SONcame 1
Gold Coast4.ALETHEIAcame 3
Moonee Valley9.KATIE LEEcame 9
Ascot6.OUR OL' FELLAcame 10
Ascot8.EXTRA BEATcame 10
Sunshine Coast Cushion Track7.MARTHA'S VINEYARDcame 10
Nowra6.MONTE LEOcame 4
Nowra7.BLACK ROCKcame 9
Nowra7.ELLIOTT STREETcame 4
Sale3.GEORGEALMIGHTYcame 8
Sale9.KING COBWEBcame 7
Terang6.SYLVAN O'REILLY NZcame 7
Hobart1.BAMAEDGEcame 2
Hobart6.WHISKEY FELLAcame 13
Hobart8.MUSQUIcame 9
Coonabarabran5.UNIKINcame 2
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