Here is something to help you out with laying. Here is a pure R&S laying system that has a positive expectation of approx 11%.
First the resultsfor the last 3 months (Assuming 5% commission):
Selections : 217
Strike rate : 23 / 217
Profit on laying to a risked liability of $100 : $1257.08
Month 1: $ 97.75
Month 2: $634.88
Month 3: $524.44
The rules :
1. Go to the neurals. Only look at TA and CF. Find the ranking of each one in the list and write it down. Any horse which has a combined ranking of 21 ( ie trainer = 10th rank and cf = 11h rank) is a selection.
2. Only lay up <= $10 on betfair.
4. The above is done pre-scratchings. So you can work out the selections the night before and then just worry about watching the price on raceday.
What is logical about the system rules?
The system is designed to find a trainer who is out of form/does not perform at this track with a mediocre horse in a large field at a price which is low enough to not be a risk to our bank.
Feel free to fiddle with it and add extra filters.
This weeks selections:
Hawkesbury | 8 | . | PATIO | came | 3 |
Ipswich | 7 | . | KOLO | came | 3 |
Ipswich | 7 | . | WILD PROMISES | came | 1 |
Ipswich | 8 | . | GUNNER KNOX | came | 1 |
Ipswich | 8 | . | ZEROAD IN | came | 13 |
Coffs Harbour | 4 | . | WAR MACHINE | came | 4 |
Coffs Harbour | 7 | . | MR WIGGLES | came | 1 |
Eagle Farm | 8 | . | JAZZ HEART | came | 9 |
Eagle Farm | 8 | . | LISTEN SON | came | 1 |
Gold Coast | 4 | . | ALETHEIA | came | 3 |
Moonee Valley | 9 | . | KATIE LEE | came | 9 |
Ascot | 6 | . | OUR OL' FELLA | came | 10 |
Ascot | 8 | . | EXTRA BEAT | came | 10 |
Sunshine Coast Cushion Track | 7 | . | MARTHA'S VINEYARD | came | 10 |
Nowra | 6 | . | MONTE LEO | came | 4 |
Nowra | 7 | . | BLACK ROCK | came | 9 |
Nowra | 7 | . | ELLIOTT STREET | came | 4 |
Sale | 3 | . | GEORGEALMIGHTY | came | 8 |
Sale | 9 | . | KING COBWEB | came | 7 |
Terang | 6 | . | SYLVAN O'REILLY NZ | came | 7 |
Hobart | 1 | . | BAMAEDGE | came | 2 |
Hobart | 6 | . | WHISKEY FELLA | came | 13 |
Hobart | 8 | . | MUSQUI | came | 9 |
Coonabarabran | 5 | . | UNIKIN | came | 2 |