Thread: Test System
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Old 4th November 2010, 09:47 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Wink

Thorns, the gray cells are always ticking over, maybe even when I'm sleeping, but not necessary about the horses.

From today's eleven selections there were three winners for a return of $9.60, and $6.14 for the Place.

However, what intrigued me was Pinjarrra R1 no5. It ran second, paying $1.04 on NSW TAB ($1.50 on Unitab) for the Place yet I was able to get $1.93 on Betfair. This price was more or less constant throughout betting so there was no luck or good timing in obtaining the $1.93.

This got me thinking about the TAB/Betfair comparison but only with skinny prices. Since last Saturday I've looked at all horses that were $2.30 or less in the Telegraph market. There were about 40 of them for about a 92% strike rate. They showed a small profit on the TAB, and even more surprising, Win betting showed an even better profit.

If betting for the Place on the TAB for these "supposedly" hot faves (some paid $1.04, whilst one even paid $2.00) produced a profit, then judging on today's Pinjarra scenario the profit with Betfair since last Saturday should be quite pleasing.

From tomorrow I'll Place-bet on Betfair everything (providing I'm at a computer) whose Tele price is at $2.30 and less. If it proves profitable I'll report in a few days.
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