Lighthuman2012,

I used to have a calculator where the Win prices of the three placegetters would be inputted, and the true trifecta divvy (it included the TAB 20% take-out) would then be calculated.

It soon became very obvious that the shorter the fave then the smaller the TAB trifecta divvy when compared to the true divvy. This was at its worst when the fave won the race, not too bad when it ran second, and was more or less what was expected when it ran third.

According to the calculator, even if one priced a $3 horse at even-money, it would in the long run pay less than what was expected, even though it might be profitable at Win betting depending on the accuracy of the ratings..