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28th November 2010, 04:56 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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Which laying method would you choose?
Here is an interesting question. I already know my answer and I know what I do but I am interested in seeing what others would do in the same circumstances.
I have a laying method (which will not be diclosed) that has the following results:
I have done calculations on 5% commission. All selections are under $15 so there are no long shots. Odds used are betfair prices not tote prices.
Selections: 1137
Winners : 76
Expected Winners (based on odds) : 150.24
Strike rate for laying : 93%
Profit Laying to lose $100 on every selection : $10,201
Profit Laying $100 on every selection : $43,756
Or you can add 2 filters and get the following results:
Selections: 300
Winners : 0
Expected Winners (based on odds) : 40.44
Strike rate for laying : 100%
Profit Laying to lose $100 on every selection : $3841
Profit Laying $100 on every selection : $28,595
I have provided the two profits for each selection method as people like to lay different ways but keep in mind the risk level of each is very different.
Which of the selection methods would you choose ?
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