
2nd January 2011, 09:41 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bundy
Posts: 292
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Hi Partypooper,
Ive been down this road before,people spend hours compiling their own ratings then converting them to odds etc but dont end up with a product that could out perform the pre post.
Id be looking for top raters in races with well exposed form who are race fit.
Yesterdays Gold Coast meeting for example-
Race1-exposed form, fav for 5443, fit, bet- 1st 2.40 1.60
Race2-3yo race-ignore
Race3-2yo race-ignore
Race4-exposed form-fav form 1211, fit,bet- 2nd x 1.50
Race5-exposed form, fav form44x1, won last start, fit, bet- 1st 2.30 1.40
Race6-exposed form, fav form 18x2,fitness doubt, no bet
Race7-exposed form,fav form 13x3, fitness doubt, no bet
Race8-3yo race-ignore
So we end up with 3 bets for 2 wins and 3 placings returning $4.70 and $4.50 nsw tab instead of the 8 bets for 2 wins and a loss like most people see.
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