1st February 2011, 07:27 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 13
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I like your thinking however i have found a major problem.
From my database which only does Saturday metro racing over the last 2.5 years.
Total selections > 50-1 = 9272
Strike Rate = 0.64%
Profit (using BF starting price) -44.29%
Looks great!
Now if we decide we want to make a living out of this
I add my filter of "total money matched on horse" > $5,000 (Not really that much money to be traded)
I get the following:
Total selections > 50-1 = 142
Strike Rate = 1.41%
Profit (using BF starting price) -22.54%
142 Horses is just over 1 bet per week and Saturdays has by far the most volume on Betfair so i would assume there wouldn't be many weekday selections either.
Anyway, I like the theory but it looks a little impractical based on my experience.
I am almost finished writing an app which coallates UK race data, perhaps your system may fair better on the UK markets as there is much more liquidity than in Aus. I will check it out when i am finished and have collected a bit of data.
Cheers
Glen
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