
4th February 2011, 08:57 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
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Merriguy, here's an idea that has been running in my mind concerning the method.
Seeing that the top horse in the neural rating has been performing so badly one would expect this might also apply to the more-fancied horses in the ratings.
I'm considering laying every horse in the qualifying races, and the liability will be on a sliding scale, say, of $5.
The concept is that the biggest outsider in the neural market will have the minimum S.P. liability of $30, then the next biggest outsider will have $35, and so on until the fave in the neural market has the highest liability.
So, if there are 12 horses in the race, the liability will be $85. Of course the winner/accident will obviously be struck, but there'll also be 11 horses that each will provide a profit. The worst return will be if the neural fave wins because it will have the highest liability, but the method so far shows the neural fave does not have a good record of winning.
I'm hoping the inaccuracy of the neurals will provide a nett profit using this rough version of dutch-laying.
I don't know if I will pursue the above method, but at the moment I'm considering it.
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